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Game Matchup Breakdown

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
@
July 5, 2025 7:10 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners

Pittsburgh Bullpen Pitchers

ALL BULLPEN PITCHERS
Dennis Santana
Dennis Santana
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
86.6
Fatigue %:
-7.7
IP 2025:
37.0
ERA:
1.46
Outings:
37
FIP:
2.49
Pitch Arsenal:
SL FF FC SI
Player Profile
Génesis Cabrera
Génesis Cabrera
Throws:
L
Effective Rtg:
71.8
Fatigue %:
0.0
IP 2025:
19.1
ERA:
5.59
Outings:
17
FIP:
5.77
Pitch Arsenal:
SI CU FF FC FS
Player Profile
Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
Throws:
L
Effective Rtg:
80.1
Fatigue %:
0.0
IP 2025:
38.0
ERA:
2.61
Outings:
38
FIP:
2.84
Pitch Arsenal:
FF SI FC SV
Player Profile
Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
72.5
Fatigue %:
0.0
IP 2025:
36.1
ERA:
2.97
Outings:
31
FIP:
4.68
Pitch Arsenal:
ST FC SI FF
Player Profile
Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
67.9
Fatigue %:
0.0
IP 2025:
51.1
ERA:
5.08
Outings:
14
FIP:
4.50
Pitch Arsenal:
FF SL ST SI CH
Player Profile
David Bednar
David Bednar
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
84.7
Fatigue %:
0.0
IP 2025:
29.2
ERA:
2.73
Outings:
33
FIP:
2.14
Pitch Arsenal:
FF CU FS
Player Profile
Isaac Mattson
Isaac Mattson
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
83.9
Fatigue %:
-7.5
IP 2025:
16.2
ERA:
1.62
Outings:
13
FIP:
3.68
Pitch Arsenal:
FF CH SL
Player Profile
Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
80.4
Fatigue %:
-15.0
IP 2025:
19.2
ERA:
2.29
Outings:
10
FIP:
3.03
Pitch Arsenal:
SL FF CU SI
Player Profile
PIT Starter
Mike Burrows
Projected SP: Mike Burrows
Throws: R
vs SEA
Confirmed Lineup
1 - L - J.P. Crawford - SS
2 - R - Julio Rodru00edguez - CF
3 - S - Cal Raleigh - C
4 - R - Randy Arozarena - LF
5 - S - Jorge Polanco - 2B
6 - L - Luke Raley - RF
7 - L - Dominic Canzone - RF
8 - R - Ben Williamson - 3B
9 - L - Cole Young - 2B

Projected SP: Luis Castillo - throws: R
LIKELY TO PITCH
Génesis Cabrera
Génesis Cabrera
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
71.8
Fatigue %:
0.0
Player Profile
Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
80.1
Fatigue %:
0.0
Player Profile
Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
72.5
Fatigue %:
0.0
Player Profile
Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
67.9
Fatigue %:
0.0
Player Profile
David Bednar
David Bednar
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
84.7
Fatigue %:
0.0
Player Profile

Pittsburgh Bullpen Usage & Stats

Last 7 Days
Player IP NP-S ERA Jul-5 Jul-4 Jul-3 Jul-2 Jul-1 Jun-30 Jun-29
Dennis Santana 1.0 16-11 0.00
1.0
8
16-11
Génesis Cabrera 1.0 19-13 0.00
1.0
5
19-13
Caleb Ferguson 2.0 25-17 0.00
2.0
6
25-17
Chase Shugart 2.1 27-19 0.00
2.1
7
27-19
Carmen Mlodzinski 3.2 54-35 0.00
3.2
6
54-35
David Bednar 1.0 20-12 0.00
1.0
9
20-12
Isaac Mattson 2.0 45-27 0.00
1.0
9
19-12
1.0
8
26-15
Braxton Ashcraft 2.1 30-22 7.73
2.1
30-22
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S

Pittsburgh Bullpen Matchup Analysis

Advanced Snapshot
Cumulative Fatigue & Effectiveness:
Effectiveness Rating:
78.5
Fatigue Factor:
-3.8
Current Overall Rating:
75.4
Bullpen Power Rankings
#5
#3
Expected Game Results
Bullpen Expected Results:
Bullpen Innings Expected:
5.1
Bullpen Runs Expected:
2.78
Blowout Potential:
[]
Starting Pitcher Expected Results:
Starter Innings Expected:
3.2
Starter Runs Expected:
1.47
Early Exit Risk:
[Moderate]
Bullpen Expected Results vs Team
GAME RESULTS EXPECTED AVG OPS FIP ERA xWOBA K% BB% ASSESSMENT
Expected  Overall 0.249 0.710 4.04 3.91 0.324 20.9% 8.3% [Below Avg]
Expected  vs L 0.243 0.700 - - - 17.6% 9.3% [Below Avg]
Expected  vs R 0.253 0.717 - - - 23.7% 7.4% [Average]

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